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AVGOPrice at research: $289.40
Published on AVGO

Broadcom: the custom-silicon business nobody prices

Broadcom builds the custom accelerators that the largest cloud providers design for themselves. That business is growing faster than the merchant market and carries software-like margins, yet the stock trades as a mature semiconductor name.

Sample research report used to test the layout. Delete before launch.

Thesis

Two businesses in one: a slow, cash-rich networking and software franchise, and a custom-chip business growing at rates the market normally pays up for. The blended multiple undervalues the second.

Catalysts

  • New custom-chip customers named on the next call.
  • Software segment margins, which keep climbing after the last acquisition.

Risks

  • Customer concentration in the custom business.
  • Debt from acquisitions, which limits flexibility if rates stay high.

What would prove me wrong

A custom-chip customer moving production in-house or to a rival. The moat here is the relationship, not a patent.

Position

Half position, adding on a breakout above the summer high.